Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.095214 0.110299 0.126788 0.146120 0.168135 0.192395 0.221125
2024-12-22 0.069249 0.088361 0.111120 0.140107 0.175923 0.218593 0.273140
2024-12-29 0.056735 0.078780 0.107059 0.145726 0.196912 0.261999 0.350624
2025-01-05 0.046130 0.069173 0.100784 0.146833 0.211614 0.298805 0.424188
2025-01-12 0.036890 0.059416 0.092294 0.143045 0.218479 0.325312 0.486574
2025-01-19 0.030386 0.052270 0.086077 0.141072 0.226960 0.354239 0.554774
2025-01-26 0.027333 0.049835 0.086368 0.148580 0.249977 0.406192 0.661464
2025-02-02 0.024647 0.047457 0.086249 0.155166 0.271983 0.458452 0.773422
2025-02-09 0.020589 0.041921 0.079959 0.150490 0.274853 0.480520 0.839525
2025-02-16 0.017764 0.038110 0.076024 0.149166 0.282884 0.511282 0.922040
2025-02-23 0.015088 0.034088 0.071060 0.145199 0.285585 0.532967 0.990798
2025-03-02 0.012900 0.030642 0.066640 0.141551 0.288226 0.554434 1.060597
2025-03-09 0.011612 0.028926 0.065465 0.144192 0.303222 0.599864 1.178138
2025-03-16 0.009886 0.025911 0.061181 0.140022 0.304598 0.620511 1.252581
2025-03-23 0.009265 0.025354 0.062039 0.146613 0.328053 0.684719 1.413826
2025-03-30 0.008345 0.023893 0.060679 0.148245 0.341491 0.730768 1.544259
2025-04-06 0.007211 0.021659 0.057199 0.144691 0.343552 0.754447 1.632900
2025-04-13 0.006335 0.019927 0.054630 0.142837 0.348999 0.785299 1.738235
2025-04-20 0.006068 0.019823 0.056035 0.150509 0.376378 0.863727 1.946670
2025-04-27 0.005765 0.019562 0.056997 0.157215 0.402219 0.940980 2.158519
2025-05-04 0.004987 0.017718 0.053552 0.152504 0.400971 0.959865 2.248502
2025-05-11 0.004445 0.016484 0.051544 0.151175 0.407571 0.996396 2.379140
2025-05-18 0.003873 0.015024 0.048669 0.147164 0.407146 1.017072 2.476503